South Korea ship sinking may be North's grandstanding

上一篇 / 下一篇  2010-04-22 09:49:52 / 天气: 晴朗 / 心情: 高兴

South Korea ship sinking may be North's grandstandingSouth Korea ship sinking may be North's grandstandingThe Seoul government has called anWaterproof tarpemergency #xmeeting of senior cabinet ministers.

Here are some implications of the incident and how a possible North Korean attack would impact regional security and sputtering talks to end Pyongyang's nuclear arms ambitions.

* The North will not escalate tensions to the state of war,Energy saving lamp, which would be a suicidal move for leader Kim Jong-il because his ill-equipped army would be no match for the advanced militaries of South Korea and its biggest ally the United States.

* If the North did attack the South's ship, the likely reason would have been to raise tension ahead of its return to the nuclear talks. The North often rattles sabers ahead of major diplomatic meetings to alarm its dialogue partners in the hope that they would be more willing to make concessions in return forWaterproof tarpPyongyang reducing its military threat to the region.

* Military grandstanding by the North usually only has a temporary impact on markets, with investors saying it would take the threat of war to cause real and lasting impact.

* North Korea risks further hits to its economy by an attack on the South. Its nearly bare coffers have been further depleted by U.N. sanctions imposed after a nuclear test in May while a botched currency revaluation at the end of last year added to its woes and sparked rare civil unrest.

* A North Korean attack on the South strengthens Kim's standing at home among the country's powerful military. This could help him reshuffle cadres or perhaps clear the way for his youngest son to be named #xheir of the communist dynasty when the North'sWaterproof tarpparliament holds its annual meeting on April 9.
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